Real Estate: Market Pace

by
Mike Walker

(As published in October 5, 2000 in Metro Weekly Magazine.)

You're right if you think the real estate market has changed some in the last several months, but it's probably not in the way you think. Real estate agents I've talked to over the last few weeks told me that we're still in a seller's market, but that the facts of that market are, slightly different than before.

Even though, they say, things in the marketplace may seem to be mellowing, that's only because places to buy are becoming harder to find. And, whereas six months ago you may have had to contend with 20 other people trying to bid on the same home, it's more likely today that only you and one or two others will be bidding.

Still, people - gay, straight or otherwise - are flocking to D.C. in droves.

“The real estate community hasn't seen this great a demand for housing in the city for more than fifteen or twenty years," says home inspections expert Jim Vaughn In fact, according to a recent article in the Washington Post, new residents - particularly white residents – are being drawn to D.C. environs because of the improved economy, a decline in the crime rate and the promise of a more efficient government ("More Whites Are Making D.C. Home" August 30, 2000).

Add to that the fact that the number of galleries and museums in D.C. easily rivals that of any other world city-. is second runner up to New York City for professional and community theater; has a gay population that rivals San Francisco's in many ways, and the climate is generally reasonable and seasonable all year round (we usually have four seasons - a must for many East Coasters).

Thanks to the recent explosion of technology firms in general, and dot-coms in particular, the financial face of the area is improving dramatically. This means good news for real estate because, unlike the tremulous '80s when real estate prices started dropping, today's market holds a great deal of promise. The only downside (if it is a downside) is the reduced availability of actual properties.

This unavailability of real estate leads to a rise in demand and that rise in demand can only be assuaged by an increase in prices. Real estate agent Ed Downs suggests that as prices continue to rise in popular areas and the shortage of supply increases, there will be a spill over affect. People will have to compromise and perhaps move into areas that are not on the top of their home wish list.

Broker Keith Blackburn echoes this sentiment and confirms that dwindling inventory is resulting, for example, in people looking further east of the Dupont Circle area. Populating neighborhoods such as Logan Circle and Shaw. In the long run, everybody can win in these seenatios as the tax base for those neighborhoods increases and the areas become "gentrified." Final result? The homes purchased as a compromise often become profit makers; the neighborhoods that are third, fourth, or not even on the %Nish lists become the next Dupont Circle. In fact, Dupont Circle was once an area that was last choice on buyer's lists - and look at Dupont today.

Sadly, the quest for bargains today can feel more like a search for the Holy Grail. In fact, says Vaughn, the only real bargains are the handy man specials. "And trust me," says Vaughn, "most of those are very special and will require a lot of time and money!" To put it another way, you risk putting a lot of money into your fixer upper only to wind up with a very expensive, but still old, fixed-up home.

What all this means, of course, is that if you're in the market today for that special home, you'll need to go into your search with a flexible and open mind. Be prepared to discuss your needs with a professional and expect to compromise a bit. And, practically speaking, don't expect to find the bargain of a lifetime. That's not to say you won't - there are a few out there. But the ones who will do the best in a seller's market are the sellers, The prepared buyer, however, can maneuver him or herself to be ready when and if the right time and place arrives.

Uncertain how to start looking for a new home? Not sure if you're ready to buy? And what, exactly, are "points"? Send your questions to realestate@metroweekly.net for possible inclusion in the new weekly feature. MW

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